Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.010092 0.012023 0.014386 0.017543 0.021741 0.027264 0.035323
2025-07-27 0.007656 0.009878 0.012935 0.017632 0.025042 0.037056 0.060021
2025-08-03 0.006370 0.008647 0.012029 0.017757 0.028038 0.047855 0.096779
2025-08-10 0.005386 0.007564 0.010974 0.017163 0.029410 0.056589 0.141571
2025-08-17 0.004597 0.006610 0.009880 0.016123 0.029417 0.062469 0.190319
2025-08-24 0.004028 0.005905 0.009050 0.015315 0.029553 0.068894 0.258590
2025-08-31 0.003738 0.005606 0.008854 0.015673 0.032498 0.086100 0.449639
2025-09-07 0.003395 0.005170 0.008333 0.015220 0.033241 0.097203 0.684874
2025-09-14 0.003084 0.004752 0.007782 0.014571 0.033202 0.105709 1.004588
2025-09-21 0.002887 0.004513 0.007537 0.014561 0.035050 0.125359 1.951057
2025-09-28 0.002783 0.004428 0.007580 0.015239 0.039455 0.166744 6.932900
2025-10-05 0.002744 0.004458 0.007857 0.016583 0.047130 0.252660 236.340507
2025-10-12 0.002619 0.004327 0.007814 0.017195 0.053158 0.363351 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002463 0.004122 0.007586 0.017255 0.057184 0.489978 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002329 0.003946 0.007395 0.017374 0.061808 0.686216 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002169 0.003702 0.007012 0.016798 0.062445 0.828803 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002001 0.003428 0.006527 0.015788 0.060003 0.876527 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001862 0.003202 0.006134 0.015003 0.058504 0.960486 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001796 0.003124 0.006084 0.015351 0.064479 1.544761 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001697 0.002966 0.005823 0.014911 0.064957 1.923351 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001597 0.002800 0.005525 0.014279 0.063681 2.185041 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001534 0.002709 0.005405 0.014269 0.067181 3.377232 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001505 0.002689 0.005461 0.014929 0.077109 9.007682 NaN